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  3. Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

5.5% (24h)One-OffScienza1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman 81%+14.5%
In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualita del mercato

60 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

146,8 €

Liquidità

5,3K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

75.0% / 81.0%

Spread

8.0%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

-5.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 minuti fa

6 gen 26, 19:0630 lug 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Jacob Tsimerman81%

KalshiDisponibile anche su Kalshi

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

Who will win the Fields Medal in 2026?

11.1%6m
Yu Deng
Yu Deng
+11.1%55%
Jacob Tsimerman
Jacob Tsimerman
+6.2%76%
Hong Wang
Hong Wang
-8.7%83%

+7 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale564,3 €
Volume 24h8,9 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regole

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.

Polymarket
  • It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
  • The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
  • If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

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Regole

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide.

Polymarket
  • It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years.
  • The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026.
  • This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
  • If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.