Probabilità implicita attuale
Karen Bass 62.4%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
83 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
4,3K €
Liquidità
181,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
0.3 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
162
Variazione 7g
+6.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
9 ott 25, 20:38 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
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0%
0%
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Manifold MarketsLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
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PolymarketLima Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketRegole
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Los Angeles Mayoral Election · Karen Bass 61%
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
- Polymarket quota Karen Bass al 62% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
- Los Angeles Mayoral Election dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California.
- Dove altro è quotato Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Smarkets.