KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Karen Bass, ≥2% 45%In testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,9K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
9 lug 26, 18:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Karen Bass minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Karen Bass if Karen Bass wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Karen Bass loses.
- If Karen Bass wins, the margin will be positive; if Karen Bass loses, the margin will be negative; if Karen Bass ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Karen Bass runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)?
- Kalshi quota Karen Bass, ≥2% al 45% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)?
- Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass) dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.