PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Goldman Sachs 55%-0.5%In testa tra 19 esiti
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
17,4K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
6.0% / 10.0%
Spread
66.7%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-6.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 16:2131 dic 27, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Goldman Sachs55%
Confronta le piattaforme· Goldman Sachs
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto85% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 65% | +10pt | 23,9 € | 6,9K € | 26 minuti fa | Apri → |
| PolymarketQuesta pagina | Bassa | 55% | 0pt | 0 € | 17,4K € | 6 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
1.0%1a
-1.0%65%
25%
-1.0%5%
+3 altri esiti
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale12,7K €
Volume 24h23,9 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter.
- If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$224 lug17g di dati21 lug
Mercati Correlati
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10,2K €$1.25–$1.5T: 17%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
2,3K €↑$1.15T: 26%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2026 Income Statement?
301,7 €> $0: 51.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Who IPOs first?
221,1 €Anthropic: 82.4%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
168,7 €No IPO by December 31, 2026: 82%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
120,2 €Sì: 11.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter.
- If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.