Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
PoliticaOne-OffGeopoliticaMedio OrientePolitica USA8m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
No 55%
No 55%Qualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
182,4 €
Liquidità
307,2 €
Bassa liquiditàOpen interest
106,6 USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Commenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 44 minuti fa
29 ott 26, 21:33 UTC1 lug 27, 03:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before the ceasefire between the United States and Iran ends.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement of the end of the blockade nor the end of the ceasefire between the United States and Iran occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of the end of the blockade qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
