Will Bitcoin hit $95,000 before a formal US-Iran ceasefire is signed?
BitcoinQuarterlyBinanceCoinbaseExchangeMedio OrienteGeopolitica1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.4%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 minuti fa
30 mar 26, 15:29 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves YES if Bitcoin closes above $95,000 on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, Kraken) before a formal ceasefire or peace deal between the US/Israel coalition and Iran is officially announced.
- Resolves NO if ceasefire is signed first without BTC reaching $95k.
- Resolves NO if neither happens by Dec 31 2026.