Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
3.5 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAGeopoliticaMedio Oriente2m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Riferimento salvato
No 70.3%
No 70.3%Qualità del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,8K €
Liquidità
18,6K €
Liquidità mediaOpen interest
8,1K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Commenti
0
Variazione 7g
-0.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
3 set 26, 13:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
PolymarketWill a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegole
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement of the end of the blockade nor a qualifying diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of the end of the blockade qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
