PolymarketChiusoVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 100+ (100%)
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Probabilità implicita attuale100+ 100%+0.3ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
56,2 €
Liquidità
71,4K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
+1.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 giorni fa
Obsoleto21 giu 26, 18:1028 giu 26, 23:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
25-491%
50-740%
100+100%
75-990%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.
Confronta le piattaforme· 100+
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Bassa | 100% | — | 56,2 € | 71,4K € | 22 giorni fa | |
 KalshiPiù attiva82% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 99% | — | 23,3K € | 884,2 € | 25 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/22 - 6/28)
82.0 ptsChiusi
Risolto
Above 225 (99%)
+82.0pt99%
+62.0pt99%
+97.0pt99%
+10 altri esiti
47 • Bassa qualitàSpread strettoBassa liquidità
Volume totale190,7K €
Volume 24h23,3K €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$642 lug4g di dati5 lug
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When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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KALSHITraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (7/20 - 7/26)
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KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
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Polymarket prices Hormuz traffic normalization by July 31 at 1.85% YesBlockchain.NewsRegole
This market will resolve according to the finalized total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from June 22, 2026, through June 28, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as data has been finalized for the final date in the specified period.
- If the data for the final date of the specified period has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.