PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualePause–Pause–Pause 80%+7.2%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualita del mercato
100 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
9,3K €
Liquidità
55,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
79.6% / 80.5%
Spread
1.1%
Spread strettoVariazione 7g
-15.3%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
24 mar 26, 23:4729 lug 26, 0:00
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Pause–Pause–Pause80%
Grandi operazioni
$1.7k23.7%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — NoDetailed-Poison3 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — NoDetailed-Poison3 gg fa$1.0k93.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Yesyoyobb201811 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — Yesyoyobb201811 gg fa$3.3k90.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesAhpo12 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesAhpo12 gg fa$2.5k90.0%POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesLALiquidated12 gg fa
POLYMARKETWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)? — YesLALiquidated12 gg faTrend del volume
$10.5k2 lug25g di dati26 lug
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
375K €Fed maintains rate: 80%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,5K €Sì: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
45,7K €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,7K €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
27,7K €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8K €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegole
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate.
- The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
- A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
- A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.