KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeVolatility 18%+3.0%In testa tra 43 esiti
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
28,2K €
Liquidità
93,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
7 lug 26, 22:3030 lug 26, 14:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Volatility18%
Confronta le piattaforme· Central Bank
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 82% | 0pt | 28,2K € | 93,5K € | 21 minuti fa | |
 Polymarket88% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 82% | 0pt | 7,1K € | 120,5K € | 21 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
2.5%3g
+0.5%85%
82%
78%
+30 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale55,7K €
Volume 24h7,1K €
POLYMARKETRegole
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$32.0k8 lug19g di dati26 lug
Mercati Correlati
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371,9K €Fed maintains rate: 79%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,5K €Sì: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
45,4K €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,7K €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
26,2K €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8K €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Polymarket odds put July Fed no-change at 96% as $65M tradesBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed July hold jumps to 95% after Bitcoin breaks $65KBlockchain.News
Bitcoin climbs above $65K as weak PPI rattles Fed hawksCrypto NewsPolymarket odds tilt to Sept Fed hold at 61.5% after Warsh testimonyBlockchain.NewsPolymarket odds for 2026 Fed hike fall to 52.5% as traders trim betsBlockchain.News
Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRegole
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.