PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
0.2% 67.3%+2.5ptIn testa tra 7 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
376,7 €
Liquidità
6,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
+1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
31 lug 26, 23:4426 ago 26, 13:30
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 1-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 36,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 6,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45,6K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Core PCE MoM - July 2026?
- Polymarket quota 0.2% al 67% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Core PCE MoM - July 2026?
- Core PCE MoM - July 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 26 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Core PCE MoM - July 2026?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 1-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.