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Dati al 9 set 2026, 02:57 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 30 86%-0.3pt
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,1K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
75.9% / 78.5%
Spread
2.6 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
3 set 26, 00:17 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized.
- (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance").
- A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
- Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per ChatGPT Outage by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 30 al 86% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve ChatGPT Outage by which date??
- ChatGPT Outage by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato ChatGPT Outage by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET).