PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
claude-fable-5.1-max 84.2%+3.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualità del mercato
67 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
2,7K €
Liquidità
6,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
3 set 26, 14:16 UTC14 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Best AI model on September 21?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiWhich company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhich AI company will release the most impactful new model before September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- No new model will be added to this market after market creation.
- Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Best AI model on September 14??
- Polymarket quota claude-fable-5.1-max al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Best AI model on September 14??
- Best AI model on September 14? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Best AI model on September 14??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.