Probabilità implicita attuale
0.5% - 0.6% 35.8%+0.5ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
51 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
296,2 €
Liquidità
2,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-8.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 23 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 4:549 set 26, 23:59
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending August 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for August 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in September 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for August 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in August 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 36,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+2.0pt51.5%
- No-2.0pt48.5%
- Volume totale
- 6,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 64,4K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting+3.5pt30%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHICPI-U index in August
- Above 334.30095%
- Above 334.35095%
- Above 334.450+3.0pt94%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 45,6K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
- How high will inflation get this year?
- US shelter CPI in August
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- PPI YoY - August 2026
- South Africa inflation rate MoM for August
- US electricity price in August
- Core PCE YoY - July 2026
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per August Inflation China - Annual?
- Polymarket quota 0.5% - 0.6% al 36% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve August Inflation China - Annual?
- August Inflation China - Annual dovrebbe risolversi il 9 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato August Inflation China - Annual?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending August 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.