PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Under 45 37.7%+13.5ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
918 €
Liquidità
44,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
18.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
15 set 26, 16:59 UTC31 ago 28, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee
Robinhood (Rothera)Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
LimitlessRegole
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.
- The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination.
- A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.
- In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.
- Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+44.0pt57.4%
- Nicolás Maduro-40.9pt41.6%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.9%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.7%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee??
- Polymarket quota Under 45 al 38% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee??
- Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.