Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 8 lug 2026, 16:33 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeGavin Newsom 21.7%-0.1%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato l’altro ieri
Obsoleto18 mag 26, 11:1515 ago 28, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Gavin Newsom22%
Confronta le piattaforme· Other
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 0% | — | 993K € | 62 Mln € | 11 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Kalshi78% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 19% | — | 342,6K € | 87,7 Mln € | 6 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Smarkets64% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 21% | — | 0,9 € | 0 € | 3 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Limitless80% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 23% | — | 0 € | 0 € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Myriad78% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 1% | — | 0 € | 0 € | 3 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets80% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 20% | — | — | — | 30 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 34% | — | — | — | l’altro ieri |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale1,1 Mld €
Volume 24h993K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1a
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità21 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale10,7K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.1%2a
-0.1%0%
-0.1%1%
+0.1%4%
+43 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale128,9 Mln €
Volume 24h342,6K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Myriad
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
4.7%73a
+0.1%48.3%
-0.1%4.5%
-0.1%22.1%
+29 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale0 €
Volume 24h0 €
MYRIADDisponibile anche su Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 altri esiti
32 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale9,2K €
Volume 24h0,9 €
SMARKETSRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
- If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A.
- Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Mercati Correlati
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
410,3K €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
93,9K €Karen Bass: 64%KALSHI
KALSHI
2028 Republican presidential nominee
69,8K €Marco Rubio: 29%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
65,7K €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party will win the House in 2026?
36K €Democratic Party: 84%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
California Governor Election Winner
9,7K €Xavier Becerra: 93%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News
Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News
Ripple-backed PACs fuel record $189M crypto election spendingCrypto News
Eizenkot kicks off election bid as Polymarket puts him at 40% to lead IsraelBlockchain.News
Supreme Court blow to Trump knocks Newsom to 20.5% on PolymarketBlockchain.News
After SCOTUS mail vote loss, Trump pushes SAVE Act as Vance holds 19.4%Blockchain.NewsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
- The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
- If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
- In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A.
- Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).