Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Manifold Markets quota Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez al 15.3% al 10 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 15 agosto 2028.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx, Myriad.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Other 32%-0.4pt

In testa tra 8 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

-1.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 7 ore fa

Obsoleto

18 mag 26, 11:15 UTC15 ago 28, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028?

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the individual who officially secures the Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The market resolves based on the results of the 2028 Democratic National Convention.
If a candidate other than those listed officially receives the nomination, the "Other" option will resolve to YES.
In the event that the Democratic Party fails to field a presidential nominee, or if the election is cancelled, the market will resolve N/A. Official confirmation will be sourced from the Democratic National Committee (https://democrats.org/) and major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters).