Avviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 10 lug 2026, 06:13 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Probabilità implicita attuale
Gavin Newsom 48.3%+0.1%In testa tra 32 esiti
Qualita del mercato
28 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
0 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
-
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
24 feb 26, 14:411 gen 00, 0:01
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Gavin Newsom48%
Confronta le piattaforme· Gavin Newsom
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto78% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 19% | 0pt | 993K € | 62 Mln € | 11 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Kalshi74% di corrispondenza · auto | Media | 19% | 0pt | 342,6K € | 87,7 Mln € | 6 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Smarkets64% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 21% | +2pt | 0,9 € | 0 € | 3 minuti fa | Apri → |
 MyriadQuesta pagina | Bassa | 48% | +29pt | 0 € | 0 € | 3 minuti fa | |
 Limitless78% di corrispondenza · collegato | Bassa | 23% | +4pt | 0 € | 0 € | 4 minuti fa | Apri → |
 Manifold Markets78% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 20% | +1pt | — | — | 30 giorni fa | Apri → |
| Manifold Markets78% di corrispondenza · collegato | — | 22% | +3pt | — | — | l’altro ieri | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.4%19%
-0.9%14%
-2.1%10%
+125 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale1,1 Mld €
Volume 24h993K €
POLYMARKETDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election
1a
7.1%
20%
6%
+14 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità21 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
-0.1%21.7%
+0.6%11.7%
-0.1%6.5%
+5 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità13 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSDisponibile anche su Limitless
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
2a
23%
13.9%
5.5%
+3 altri esiti
28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale10,7K €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSDisponibile anche su Kalshi
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
0.1%2a
-0.1%0%
-0.1%1%
+0.1%4%
+43 altri esiti
73 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquidità
Volume totale128,9 Mln €
Volume 24h342,6K €
KALSHIDisponibile anche su Smarkets
Democratic Presidential Nominee
13.5%
0.1%
2.6%
+19 altri esiti
32 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale9,2K €
Volume 24h0,9 €
SMARKETSRegole
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.