Avviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 7 ago 2026, 15:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Gavin Newsom 44.3%In testa tra 32 esiti
Qualita del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaTraders
5,243
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
24 feb 26, 14:411 gen 00, 0:01
Trend
Regole
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Democratic Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If a candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Democratic Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Democratic National Committee (DNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · 5 piattaforme · 3 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 24%
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 22%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · AOCA 20%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 21%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20%
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will J.B. Pritzker win the Democratic Nomination for US President in 2028? · No 96%
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 altri esiti
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- 165,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad quota Gavin Newsom al 44% al 25 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad liquida questo mercato come segue: ### **Market Dates:**
- Dove altro è quotato Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Smarkets, Gemini, Kalshi, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, ForecastEx.