MyriadVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati verificati limitatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 10 ott 2026, 07:31 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Probabilità implicita attuale
JD Vance 48.6%-0.1ptIn testa tra 32 esiti
Qualità del mercato
22 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaTrader
5,221
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
24 feb 26, 14:33 UTC1 gen 00, 00:01 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will be the first time a Republican presidential candidate wins D.C.?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?
PolymarketWill a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee
SmarketsWill JD Vance be the Republican presidential nominee in 2028?
FutuurWill the Republican presidential nominee in 2028 win any state Trump didn't win?
Manifold MarketsRegole
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 24%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 46%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 40%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 48%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 43%
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee
