MyriadDati verificati limitatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 7 ago 2026, 15:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
JD Vance 54.4%In testa tra 32 esiti
Qualita del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaTraders
4,800
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
24 feb 26, 14:331 gen 00, 0:01
Trend
Regole
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date until the nomination is officially determined. - **Market Close:** This market remains open until a resolution is achieved. - **Resolution Deadline:** The market will resolve as soon as an outcome is reached.
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - This market resolves to the **individual candidate who officially wins and accepts the 2028 Republican Party nomination for President of the United States**. - If candidate not represented by their own bracket wins, the market resolves to “Other.” - Confirmation will rely on the Republican Party’s **official communications**, as well as reporting from: - **Associated Press** - **Reuters** - **Fox News**
- ### **Resolution Details:**
- - Once the Republican National Committee (RNC) or the candidate formally announces and accepts the nomination, the market resolves immediately. - If a candidate later withdraws, is replaced, or is removed before Election Day, this does not impact the already resolved outcome. - Superdelegate counts, internal party projections, or unofficial announcements are insufficient unless they are formally confirmed by the party or supported by the resolution sources.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm J.D. Vance 44% · 4 piattaforme · 3 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · Marco Rubio 50%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028? · JD Vance 43%
- Disponibile anche su PredictIt — Who will win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · JD Vance 44%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 · J.D. Vance 47%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Republican presidential nominee · J.D. Vance 44%
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Republican Presidential Nominee · JD Vance 42%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Republican Presidential Nominee · JVAN 36%
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — 2028 Republican Nominee for President? · J.D. Vance 43%
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18.8%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.8%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt12.9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 165,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2 Mln €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-1.0pt58.7%
- Ralph Norman33%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 9,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 947,7K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt76%
- October 31+7.5pt60%
- September 30+5.0pt41%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva61.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt34.3%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt2.9%
+15 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party85.9%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.1%
- Volume totale
- 21,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 468,3K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad quota JD Vance al 54% al 25 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- Myriad liquida questo mercato come segue: ### **Market Dates:**
- Dove altro è quotato Republican Presidential Nominee 2028?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless, Manifold Markets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi, Smarkets, Robinhood (Rothera), Gemini.