Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%In testa tra 17 esiti
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto23 dic 24, 23:29 UTC1 lug 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Manifold MarketsWho will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on who becomes the Democratic Party's nominee for the 2028 presidential election, as determined by:
- Securing enough delegates to win the nomination at the Democratic National Convention, OR
- Being declared the presumptive nominee after all other candidates have dropped out or suspended their campaigns
- The market will resolve N/A if:
- The Democratic Party dissolves or ceases to exist before 2028
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 · AOC 17%
- Disponibile anche su Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Disponibile anche su Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 20%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
