Conditional on (x) being the 2028 democratic nominee, (x) wins the 2028 presidential election
Politica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJosh Shapiro 59.2%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ott 25, 00:39 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the Democratic nominee, and will they win the 2028 presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican nominee or Democratic nominee for 2028 presidential election be a female?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democratic nominee of the 2028 presidential election be under the age of 50?
Manifold MarketsLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiLA-04 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRegole
Resolves yes if they are the nominee and win the presidency.
- Resolves no if they are the nominee and lose the presidency.
- Resolve N/A if they are not the nominee.
- Nominee being the person selected at the DNC as the presidential candidate.
- If the results of the election are overturned but they distribution of votes corresponds to a majority of electors, then that counts as winning.
