Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63.6% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander??

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 febbraio 2029.

Come viene liquidato Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Freddie deBoer offered Scott Alexander the following wager (see https://freddiedeboer.substack.com/p/im-offering-scott-alexander-a-wager )

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POLYMARKET

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

• Yes+2.5pt79.2%
• No-2.5pt20.8%

Volume totale

1 Mln €

Volume 24h

72,6K €

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)+4.5pt81.6%
• 1 (25 bps)-3.5pt18.4%
• 3 (75 bps)-3.0pt0%

+3 altri esiti

KALSHI

Core CPI in October

• Above 0.0%+1.0pt94.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt75.5%
• Above 0.2%+2.0pt

POLYMARKET

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

• Hike–Pause–Hike+5.0pt80%
• Hike–Pause–Pause-2.5pt18%
• Other+0.3pt2%

+6 altri esiti

KALSHI

October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core

• Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%11.5%
• Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%10%

KALSHI

CPI in October

• Above -0.1%98.5%
• Above 0.0%99%
• Above 0.1%-2.0pt88.5%

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