Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 51.6%
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30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto10 mar 24, 12:47 UTC1 mar 00, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
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Manifold MarketsWill 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2031?
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KalshiAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegole
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.
- Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can.
- It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
- Resolves as YES if such a system is created before one million humanoid robots have been manufactured.
- AGI questions:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured??
- Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Will we get AGI before 1M humanoid robots are manufactured??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being.