Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
5 gen 26, 16:29 UTC31 dic 26, 16:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Venezuela (through its government, military, or state-affiliated actors) takes any direct military, cyber, or armed action against U.S. targets, personnel, or interests in response to the January 2026 U.S. strikes.
- This includes attacks on U.S. military assets, diplomatic facilities, or U.S. citizens abroad.
- The action must occur within 12 months of January 3, 2026,.
- On January 3, 2026, the United States military attacked Venezuela, capturing sitting Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores.
- The attack, codenamed Absolute Resolve, began around 02:00 a.m. local time when explosions were observed.
