Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
Salute e medicinaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 80.9%
Previsori
47
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto24 ott 22, 03:48 UTC31 dic 29, 14:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This question resolves to "YES" if the CDC-published life expectancy at birth for 2029 exceeds that of 2019, "NO" if it does not (or is equal to within 0.1 years).
- If the CDC no longer publishes life expectancy figures in 2030, resolution will be based on the most similar comparable US government figures for which data is available from 2019 to 2029.
- This market resolves "N/A" if whole-population life expectancy figures which compare 2019 and 2029 to within 0.1 years are not available in 2030.
- The CDC has recently published figures showing that life expectancy at birth declined by 1.8 years in 2020 and 0.9 years in 2021, from 78.8 years in 2019 to 76.1 years in 2021: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2022/20220831.htm
- Oct 25, 1:03pm: Will US life expectancy recover from Covid by 2030? → Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
