Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 80.3%
Previsori
144
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto13 dic 25, 15:14 UTC12 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
Manifold MarketsWill the average US inflation between 2024–2034 be more than 2.21%?
Manifold MarketsWill AI technology lead to higher or lower US inflation rates by end of June 2027
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketCPI in September
KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiRegole
This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).
- The resolution will be based on the 12-month headline CPI inflation rate published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm.
- Goes by the headline figure, typically rounded to 1 decimal.
- I will use most suitable replacement if BLS stops publishing this statistic or if it is widely treated as unreliable measure of inflation.
- I will bet in this market.
- If we hit ambiguity around reliability will agree with a group of representative YES and NO holders.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume totale
- 61,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,8K €
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.4%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 187,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,1K €
POLYMARKETSeptember Inflation US - Annual
- 3.6%-1.0pt39.6%
- 3.7%+0.5pt25.2%
- 3.5%+2.5pt19.8%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHICore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- Above 2.1%99%
- Above 2.2%98%
- Above 2.3%+2.0pt86%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,2K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)+3.0pt60.2%
- 3 (75 bps)-1.4pt23.3%
- 1 (25 bps)-1.0pt15.5%
+3 altri esiti
- September Inflation China - Annual
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- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026
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- Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
- CPI core in November 2026
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- September Inflation US - Monthly
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for the United States is 3% or higher for the calendar year 2026 (Dec 2026 price level compared to Dec 2025).