Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffIntrattenimentoUS PoliticsElezioneLatin America1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.4%
Previsori
144
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto19 ago 26, 15:17 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill Trump declare a national emergency?
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LimitlessWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump, in his capacity as President of the United States, officially declares a new national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. 1601 et seq.) on or before November 3, 2026 (11:59 PM EST).
- Source of Truth: The declaration must be officially published as a Presidential Proclamation or Executive Order on the Federal Register (federalregister.gov) or the official White House website (whitehouse.gov).
- Exclusions: This market requires a newly declared national emergency.
- The continuation, extension, or modification of existing national emergencies (such as the January 2025 emergency regarding energy and critical minerals) will not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 72% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Shadow strategist Bannon seems to believe so.