Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms?
PoliticaQuarterlyUS PoliticsWeather1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 76%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ago 26, 20:36 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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The water cuts a
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before November 3, 2026 (the date of the U.S. midterm elections), both of the following conditions are met:
- Inoperable Reservoirs: The water level of either Lake Powell drops below 3,490 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Glen Canyon Dam) or Lake Mead drops below 950 feet (the minimum power pool elevation for Hoover Dam), as recorded by the official U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (USBR).
- Federal Emergency Declaration: President Donald Trump (or the Trump administration) formally issues a federal declaration of emergency (under the Stafford Act, National Emergencies Act, or another applicable federal statute) specifically citing the critical water levels, drought, or dam/power inoperability along the Colorado River basin.
- If both of these conditions are not officially met on or before November 3, 2026, the market will resolve to NO.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 76% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Trump admin allow the Colorado River to reach an inoperable level to declare a State of Emergency b4 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The water cuts a