KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 42.9%In testa tra 4 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
41 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
480,4 €
Liquidità
969,2 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
28 ago 26, 16:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 43% al 4 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- Will Trump declare a national emergency? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Will Trump declare a national emergency??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su PredictIt.