Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 89.7%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto4 lug 25, 17:26 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiTrump out as President by September 30?
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PolymarketRegole
Any Trump statement/tweet/truth/etc claiming election fraud/theft/rigging as the results of the midterms come out.
- Only statements by Trump himself will be considered, not members of his admin.
- I will bet on this market.
- Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A statement that only expresses suspicion, such as "very suspicious", without explicitly claiming fraud, theft, or rigging, will not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 90% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms??
- Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Any Trump statement/tweet/truth/etc claiming election fraud/theft/rigging as the results of the midterms come out.