Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2-3 28.9%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto5 feb 26, 01:32 UTC5 feb 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump claim election fraud in the 2026 midterms?
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KalshiHow many states will Trump visit in Oct 2026?
KalshiHow many states will Trump visit in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsRegole
He has to explicitly name the state between the day after election day and market close, saying something like "the New England elections were rigged" does not count.
- He does not have to use rigged, synonyms count.
- However, it has to be said orally.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 598,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.9pt91%
- Republican Party-1.1pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 425,6K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.4pt9.2%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+2.5pt25%
- October+1.5pt18%
- September 30,-0.1pt6%
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in??
- Manifold Markets quota 2-3 al 29% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in??
- How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many states will Trump claim the midterms were rigged in??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: He has to explicitly name the state between the day after election day and market close, saying something like "the New England elections were rigged" does not count.