Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneEurope1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.4%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto19 gen 26, 21:56 UTC2 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say Iceland should be a part of the USA before 2029?
Manifold MarketsNext High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?
PolymarketWill Congress pass a resolution rejecting the U.S.–Saudi nuclear agreement by December 31?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of:
- • Associated Press
- • New York Times
- • Washington Examiner
- • Wall Street Journal
- • New York Post
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 193,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 710,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,6K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 407,5K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO??
- Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Market closes no later than the end of election day 2026, or upon Trump announcing that US will pull out of NATO, on news reports from at least one of: