Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?
CommoditiesRussia / UkraineOne-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaUS PoliticsEurope3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
9,8K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.9% / 8.7%
Spread
5.8 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+3.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 19:37 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Nord Stream 2 open?
KalshiWho blew up the Nord Stream 2 pipeline?
Manifold MarketsWill Nord Stream resume operations by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine apologize for blowing up Nord stream 2 before 2030?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution.
- Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.