Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:03 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 84.5%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 35 minuti fa
15 apr 26, 10:40 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be hard fuel rationing in the UK in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAustralian Government Announces Fuel Rationing
Manifold MarketsUK Autumn Budget 2026: will it freeze fuel duty or cancel a scheduled rise?
Manifold MarketsWill Treasury ease Russia sanctions beyond diesel (crude oil, gasoline or jet fuel) before Election Day, Nov 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill gas prices in New York exceed $4.1 for the week ending October 26, 2026? (gasoline) (fuel costs) (pump costs)?
ForecastExWill US Gasoline prices exceed $1.7 for the week ending June 29, 2027? (Fuel) (Pump cost) (Energy) (Petroleum)?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves YES if the government issues formal advice to citizens and / or businesses, even if not backed by a specific law or legal threat, that they should restrict their consumption of any fossil fuel.
- Things that would trigger a YES resolution (examples, not exclusive)
- Advice to work from home where possible due to fuel storages.
- “Alternate day filling” type rules.
- Any kind of logistical system set up that prioritises e.g. hospitals.
- I will be arbiter of what is or is not soft rationing so will not bet on this market.
