Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 51.8% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 51.8%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 16 ore fa

Obsoleto

24 mar 24, 11:49 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolves “yes” if most plausible statistics show there are more than 500mill Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030

Resolves “no” if the statistics show there are fewer than 500mill Buddhists on that date.
Resolves “n/a” if plausible statistics disagree with each other over whether there are more than 500mill Buddhists exist on that date or not.
Only people who follow Buddhism as a religion count for this market, not those who treat it as a secular philosophy.