Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years?
EconomiaOne-Off6aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto8 ago 23, 23:05 UTC9 ago 33, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 20 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 15 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the World's GDP double in 5 years?
Manifold Markets2026 World GDP Growth
PolymarketFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiRegole
Inclusive or.
- E. g. 2028->2029 +12% or 2031->2032 -16%
Mercati aperti
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7K €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 334,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8K €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 10,7K €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume totale
- 612,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,9K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volume totale
- 2,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,3K €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years??
- Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years? dovrebbe risolversi il 9 agosto 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will the World GDP rise or fall by at least 10% year over year in at least one of the next 10 years??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inclusive or.