Will the world be more religious on 21st April 2029 than on 21st April 2024?
One-OffReligioneSocietà e cultura2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto21 apr 24, 16:53 UTC21 apr 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
According to the statistics I could find, around 84% of people globally are religious on 21st April 2024.
- This market resolves to “yes” if the mainstream statistics I can find suggest that more than 84% of people globally are religious on April 21st 2029.
- “No” of fewer than 84% of people globally are religious on that date.
- “N/a” if reliable statistics cannot be found or if they disagree with each other as to whether religiosity has increased or decreased.
- I will not bet on this market to avoid motivated reasoning.
