Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto16 mar 26, 10:06 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Will the US use unmanned ground vehicles or other robots intended to move over land and fulfill combat roles on Iranian soil?
- US = US army or other armed forces/branches of government.
- Robots = Vehicles or machines intended to move over distances over 100m without a driver physically touching any part of the vehicle (cord-operated do not count).
- Combat role = Directly trying to cause damage or in direct contact/support of soldiers that do.
- Examples: medevac counts, moving containers in a logistical center does not.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026??
- Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will the US use unmanned ground vehicles or other robots intended to move over land and fulfill combat roles on Iranian soil?