Will the US implement a policy for rapid shutdown of large compute clusters and training runs by 2028?
IAOne-OffRegolamentazioneTecnologia2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 27 ott 2026, 06:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 52.5%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto28 apr 23, 13:56 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that requires the implementation of rapid shutdown mechanisms for large compute clusters and training runs.
- These mechanisms could include non-networked power cutoff switches for large compute clusters or remote shutdown systems on chips, with the goal of enabling swift response in emergency situations.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
