Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030?
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffSportUS PoliticsChessMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69.6%
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18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto30 ott 25, 02:41 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States conducts a nuclear weapons test before January 1, 2030.
- A nuclear test is defined as any explosive nuclear detonation, whether underground, underwater, or in the atmosphere.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of Energy, Department of Defense, or credible international monitoring sources such as the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO).
- The market resolves NO if no such test occurs by the deadline.
- The last underground nuclear test occurred on September 23, 1992.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 70% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030??
- Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US conduct a nuclear test before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria