Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end?
GeopoliticaOne-OffEurope3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 86.2%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto23 feb 24, 14:26 UTC1 gen 30, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Conditional on a NATO country being invaded, will >80% of NATO honor Article 5?
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PolymarketRegole
This Article 5 call needs to be qualified
- At least two NATO countries need to publicly acknowledge it's a honest call
- I'll rely on the wording of the mainstream media to check if there's a real threat to a NATO country
- I won't bet.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end??
- Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will the United States refuse to honor an article 5 call by a NATO country by 2029 year end??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This Article 5 call needs to be qualified