Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028?
PoliticaIAOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80%
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 26, 16:56 UTC31 dic 28, 16:48 UTC
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Examples of what I would consider meaningful negative impacts:
- A significant drop in userbase or subscribers that seems to be connected
- Impactful hostile government action targeting OpenAI or Sam Altman by e.g. a Democratic controlled congress
- Retribution from the Trump administration because OpenAI reneged on the deal
- This may resolve YES early if something significant and unambiguously negative happens.
- If it is ambiguous, I will not resolve hastily and may extend the resolution deadline until I am convinced one way or the other.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 80% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028??
- Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the OpenAI/DoD deal result in meaningful negative consequences for OpenAI by the end of 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Examples of what I would consider meaningful negative impacts: