KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
5K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.5% / 5.4%
Spread
3.9 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
13 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWhich bills will become law in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot or other AI system impersonating certain licensed professionals has become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Governor of New York
- Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
- For standard legislation requiring executive approval, this includes final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods.
- For legislation not requiring executive approval, this includes final passage and completion of required waiting periods.
- For constitutional amendments, this includes passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes.
- For executive orders, this includes official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York??
- Kalshi quota No al 93% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York??
- Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If legislation that imposes liability for damages caused by a chatbot or other AI system impersonating certain licensed professionals has become law in New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.