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  3. When, where or how will Trump die?
When, where or how will Trump die?

When, where or how will Trump die?

PoliticaOne-OffHealth & MedicineUS PoliticsElezioneIAGeopolitica18a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
2025
2025 0%
In testa tra 77 esiti
Previsori

321

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 10 ore fa

Obsoleto
4 gen 25, 15:151 gen 45, 22:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

20264%

Regole

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if:

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When will Erica Schwartz be confirmed as CDC director?

2,6 €
Before Jan 1, 2027: 74%KalshiKALSHI

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Notizie Correlate

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Regole

Background Donald Trump was born on June 14, 1946, making him 77 years old.

Manifold Markets
  • He is currently the oldest major party nominee for president in U.S. history.
  • According to CDC data, the average life expectancy for a 77-year-old American male is approximately 9.4 additional years.
  • Resolution Criteria This market will resolve based on the year of Donald Trump's death as reported by multiple reputable news sources.
  • If Trump dies during a particular year listed in the options, that option will resolve to YES and all others to NO.
  • The market will resolve N/A if: