Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.2%
Previsori
193
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto13 ott 23, 04:13 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWho will run for President of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will be voted President of the United States by the Electoral College in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRegole
The next President of the United States will be inaugurated on 25 January 2025.
- Will he or she die while in office?
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt61%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-4.0pt38%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 133,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 712,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.7pt91%
- Republican Party-0.4pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 687,1K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 194,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 625,7K €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt54%
- Nithya Raman+9.0pt46%
- Volume totale
- 28,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 504K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt62.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-2.0pt28.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.5pt8.2%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.7pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.9pt13%
+48 altri esiti
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next President of the United States die in office??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next President of the United States die in office??
- Will the next President of the United States die in office? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next President of the United States die in office??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The next President of the United States will be inaugurated on 25 January 2025.