Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJD Vance 87.9%In testa tra 44 esiti
Previsori
97
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto5 feb 25, 04:50 UTC16 nov 28, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Pete Buttigieg run for president of the United States in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Bernie Sanders run for President in 2028?
Kalshi🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for president in 2028?
KalshiRegole
Each option resolves YES when the respective candidate files a FEC Form 2 seeking the office of President, the formal statement of candidacy.
- (Informal statements by the candidate are irrelevant to resolution.)
- All other options resolve NO once all relevant deadlines have passed.
- Close date is provisional in that this market will likely resolve earlier than it once I identify all relevant deadlines.
