Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 79.4%
Previsori
61
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto20 dic 25, 02:11 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Superintelligence be developed in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be president on January 19, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Gavin Newsom be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurWill Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election on November 5, 2024, and will be inaugurated as the 47th president.
- This market resolves YES if Trump remains president on December 31, 2028.
- It resolves NO if he is no longer president on that date for any reason, including death, resignation, removal from office, or loss of a subsequent election.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official status of the U.S. presidency on December 31, 2028, via the White House website (https://www.whitehouse.gov/) or official government records.
- The President and Vice President serve four-year terms.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028??
- Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria