Previsione della comunità attuale
Other 47.3%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo3 lug 24, 01:56 UTC22 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be President at any point in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.
- If Trump ceases being President for any reason, will be the successor President(s) within same presidential term.
- Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to a confirmed appointee in the Director role, not an Acting director or someone serving under a Presidential Delegated Duty (PDD).
- Acting directors do not qualify for resolution.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 47% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management??
- If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.