Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopoliticaMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 61%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto9 lug 26, 17:12 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will 200 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketRegole
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 61% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President??
- Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.