Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAGeopoliticaMedio Oriente2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 54.9%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo9 lug 26, 17:12 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 26?
PolymarketRegole
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at chokepoint6 , both in the chart and through downloadable files.
- Must occur after market creation, July 9th.
- (which aligns with the start of the Iran war, of course this happened on a semi daily basis pre war.)
