Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78.9%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto25 feb 25, 05:09 UTC5 mar 50, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.
- It does not have to happen in Vatican City, and does not have to be called "Vatican 3." The name is just making reference to Vatican 2, the most recent ecumenical council).
- Resolves N/A if Pope Francis convenes an ecumenical council, or there's somehow no new pope before 2040.
Mercati aperti
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 56,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 12,6K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No96%
- Yes-76.0pt4%
- Volume totale
- 8,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4K €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118K €
- Volume 24h
- 63,7 €
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 674,4 €
- Volume 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume totale
- 3,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSGutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Yes55.3%
- No44.7%
- Volume totale
- 2,8K €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 marzo 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next pope convene Vatican 3??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if an ecumenical council is convened by the pope following Pope Francis (An ecumenical council in any location is enough to resolve this as YES.