Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffSpace3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 79.7%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto31 mar 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by December 31, 2026
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):